Super League 1 · Matchweek 24
AEK Athens
AEK
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens49%
Draw26%
Olympiacos25%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.12
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession58%
34%Territory37%
19%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AEK Athens, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.