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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 23

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PAOK Thessaloniki46%
Draw26%
Atromitos28%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.21

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession51%
47%Territory35%
29%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.0%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 2 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.