Super League 1 · Matchweek 23
Panetolikos
PAE
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panetolikos35%
Draw27%
Iraklis38%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.43
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession41%
34%Territory30%
28%From set plays23%
0.07Chance quality0.07
8.3%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panetolikos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.