Super League 1 · Matchweek 23
Levadiakos
LEV
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levadiakos26%
Draw30%
AEK Athens44%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.30
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.9%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–011.7%
- 1–09.9%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession57%
42%Territory34%
28%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.11
8.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levadiakos, 2 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.