Super League 1 · Matchweek 23
Asteras Tripolis
AST
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis29%
Draw26%
OFI Crete45%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.67
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
OFI Crete will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.
46%Possession56%
33%Territory35%
26%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.16
7.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.