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Super League 1 · Matchweek 22

Panetolikos

PAE

Panathinaikos

PAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panetolikos15%
Draw21%
Panathinaikos64%

Expected goals

0.95 – 2.11

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–210.4%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Panathinaikos will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.

43%Possession61%
34%Territory51%
28%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.10
8.3%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 3 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.