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Super League 1 · Matchweek 22

Kifisia FC

KIF

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kifisia FC36%
Draw26%
PAOK Thessaloniki37%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.49

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession57%
38%Territory47%
17%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.1%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kifisia FC, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.