Super League 1 · Matchweek 22
Kifisia FC
KIF
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kifisia FC36%
Draw26%
PAOK Thessaloniki37%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.49
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession57%
38%Territory47%
17%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kifisia FC, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.