Super League 1 · Matchweek 22
Iraklis
IRA
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis23%
Draw26%
Olympiacos51%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.65
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–111.4%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.6%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Olympiacos will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.
41%Possession58%
30%Territory37%
23%From set plays16%
0.07Chance quality0.10
8.3%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.