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Super League 1 · Matchweek 22

Atromitos

ATR

OFI Crete

OFI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atromitos45%
Draw27%
OFI Crete28%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.19

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession56%
35%Territory35%
12%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.16
3.7%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Atromitos, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.