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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 22

Aris Thessaloniki

ARI

Levadiakos

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aris Thessaloniki34%
Draw32%
Levadiakos34%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.09

Over 2.5

37%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–013.0%
  • 0–112.4%
  • 1–012.3%
  • 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Aris Thessaloniki will have the ball; Levadiakos will not mind.

58%Possession46%
37%Territory42%
25%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.12
8.5%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.