Super League 1 · Matchweek 21
Panathinaikos
PAN
Kalamata
KAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos64%
Draw20%
Kalamata15%
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.00
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Panathinaikos will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.
61%Possession42%
51%Territory32%
27%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panathinaikos, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panathinaikos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.