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Super League 1 · Matchweek 21

Levadiakos

LEV

Kifisia FC

KIF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levadiakos41%
Draw31%
Kifisia FC28%

Expected goals

1.23 – 0.99

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.6%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession53%
42%Territory38%
28%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.09
8.3%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levadiakos, 3 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.