Super League 1 · Matchweek 21
Atromitos
ATR
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atromitos54%
Draw26%
Iraklis21%
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.95
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession41%
35%Territory30%
12%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Atromitos, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.