Super League 1 · Matchweek 21
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Panetolikos
PAE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis46%
Draw26%
Panetolikos28%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.26
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession43%
33%Territory34%
26%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.07
7.8%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panetolikos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.