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Super League 1 · Matchweek 20

NFC Volos

NFC

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NFC Volos38%
Draw28%
Atromitos34%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.27

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.6%
  • 1010.1%
  • 019.5%
  • 008.5%
  • 218.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession48%
38%Territory37%
19%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NFC Volos, 3 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.