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Super League 1 · Matchweek 20

Panetolikos

PAE

Levadiakos

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panetolikos25%
Draw29%
Levadiakos47%

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.40

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.5%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

43%Possession46%
34%Territory42%
28%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.12
8.3%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Panetolikos

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.