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Super League 1 · Matchweek 20

Olympiacos

OLY

Asteras Tripolis

AST

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Olympiacos54%
Draw25%
Asteras Tripolis21%

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.03

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.5%
  • 1111.3%
  • 219.8%
  • 209.2%
  • 007.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.

59%Possession51%
42%Territory41%
27%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Asteras Tripolis

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.