Super League 1 · Matchweek 20
Olympiacos
OLY
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos67%
Draw20%
Asteras Tripolis13%
Expected goals
2.15 – 0.87
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.4%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Olympiacos will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.
58%Possession46%
37%Territory33%
16%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.