Super League 1 · Matchweek 20
Kalamata
KAL
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata39%
Draw26%
PAOK Thessaloniki35%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.47
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kalamata get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession43%
38%Territory38%
36%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.17
5.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.