Super League 1 · Matchweek 20
Kalamata
KAL
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata33%
Draw25%
PAOK Thessaloniki43%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.74
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.5%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PAOK Thessaloniki will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.
42%Possession57%
32%Territory47%
17%From set plays29%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kalamata
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.