Super League 1 · Matchweek 20
Iraklis
IRA
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis38%
Draw28%
OFI Crete34%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.27
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–08.4%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession49%
30%Territory31%
48%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.12
7.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Iraklis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.