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Super League 1 · Matchweek 20

Iraklis

IRA

OFI Crete

OFI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Iraklis33%
Draw26%
OFI Crete40%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.53

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–18.8%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

OFI Crete will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.

41%Possession56%
30%Territory35%
23%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.16
8.3%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.