Super League 1 · Matchweek 20
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki26%
Draw24%
Panathinaikos50%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.85
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Panathinaikos will have the ball; Aris Thessaloniki will not mind.
45%Possession65%
34%Territory52%
27%From set plays13%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.3%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 4 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.