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Super League 1 · Matchweek 20

AEK Athens

AEK

Kifisia FC

KIF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AEK Athens55%
Draw24%
Kifisia FC21%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.05

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 1011.0%
  • 219.9%
  • 209.2%
  • 006.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AEK Athens will have the ball; Kifisia FC will not mind.

63%Possession45%
37%Territory37%
21%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AEK Athens, 4 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.