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Super League 1 · Matchweek 20

AEK Athens

AEK

Kifisia FC

KIF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AEK Athens60%
Draw23%
Kifisia FC17%

Expected goals

1.90 – 0.94

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.7%
  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

57%Possession53%
34%Territory38%
19%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AEK Athens, 3 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.