Super League 1 · Matchweek 20
AEK Athens
AEK
Kifisia FC
KIF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens60%
Draw23%
Kifisia FC17%
Expected goals
1.90 – 0.94
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession53%
34%Territory38%
19%From set plays17%
0.11Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AEK Athens, 3 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.