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Super League 1 · Matchweek 19

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PAOK Thessaloniki69%
Draw18%
Panetolikos13%

Expected goals

2.40 – 1.01

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

PAOK Thessaloniki will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.

57%Possession43%
47%Territory34%
29%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Panetolikos

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.