Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
Panathinaikos
PAN
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos48%
Draw26%
Olympiacos25%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.14
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
65%Possession59%
52%Territory42%
13%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Panathinaikos, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panathinaikos
Olympiacos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.