Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
Panathinaikos
PAN
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos47%
Draw27%
Olympiacos27%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.15
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession58%
51%Territory37%
27%From set plays16%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panathinaikos, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panathinaikos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.