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Super League 1 · Matchweek 19

OFI Crete

OFI

AEK Athens

AEK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete34%
Draw27%
AEK Athens39%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.46

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 019.1%
  • 128.6%
  • 108.4%
  • 217.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AEK Athens will have the ball; OFI Crete will not mind.

49%Possession63%
31%Territory37%
23%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.