Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
OFI Crete
OFI
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OFI Crete26%
Draw25%
AEK Athens49%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.73
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–27.5%
- 2–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession57%
35%Territory34%
18%From set plays19%
0.16Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 2 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.