Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
Levadiakos
LEV
Kalamata
KAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levadiakos46%
Draw28%
Kalamata25%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.02
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession42%
42%Territory32%
28%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levadiakos, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.