Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
Atromitos
ATR
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atromitos49%
Draw28%
Aris Thessaloniki24%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.00
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
51%Possession58%
35%Territory37%
12%From set plays25%
0.13Chance quality0.08
3.7%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Atromitos, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.