Super League 1 · Matchweek 19
Atromitos
ATR
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atromitos49%
Draw25%
Aris Thessaloniki26%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.21
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession45%
37%Territory34%
15%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atromitos, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atromitos
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.