Skip to content

Super League 1 · Matchweek 18

NFC Volos

NFC

OFI Crete

OFI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NFC Volos36%
Draw28%
OFI Crete36%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.33

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.5%
  • 109.6%
  • 019.5%
  • 008.2%
  • 218.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession49%
38%Territory31%
19%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NFC Volos, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.