Super League 1 · Matchweek 18
Panetolikos
PAE
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panetolikos34%
Draw26%
AEK Athens40%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.57
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AEK Athens will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.
39%Possession63%
38%Territory37%
23%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.12
9.4%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 3 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panetolikos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.