Super League 1 · Matchweek 18
Panetolikos
PAE
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panetolikos14%
Draw20%
AEK Athens66%
Expected goals
0.93 – 2.16
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–37.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
43%Possession57%
34%Territory34%
28%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.11
8.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 2 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panetolikos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.