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Super League 1 · Matchweek 18

Panathinaikos

PAN

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panathinaikos54%
Draw26%
Atromitos20%

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.96

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.7%
  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

61%Possession51%
51%Territory35%
27%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panathinaikos, 2 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.