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Super League 1 · Matchweek 18

Olympiacos

OLY

Levadiakos

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Olympiacos49%
Draw29%
Levadiakos22%

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.88

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.7%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Levadiakos will not mind.

58%Possession46%
37%Territory42%
16%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.