Super League 1 · Matchweek 18
Kalamata
KAL
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata49%
Draw25%
Asteras Tripolis26%
Expected goals
1.71 – 1.21
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kalamata get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession51%
38%Territory41%
36%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.