Super League 1 · Matchweek 18
Kalamata
KAL
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata53%
Draw24%
Asteras Tripolis23%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.19
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–16.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession46%
32%Territory33%
17%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kalamata
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.