Super League 1 · Matchweek 18
Iraklis
IRA
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis28%
Draw25%
PAOK Thessaloniki47%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.71
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–27.1%
- 2–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PAOK Thessaloniki will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.
41%Possession57%
30%Territory47%
23%From set plays29%
0.07Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.