Super League 1 · Matchweek 18
Iraklis
IRA
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis37%
Draw27%
PAOK Thessaloniki37%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession43%
30%Territory38%
48%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.17
7.7%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Iraklis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.