Super League 1 · Matchweek 18
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Kifisia FC
KIF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki37%
Draw28%
Kifisia FC35%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.28
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession53%
37%Territory38%
25%From set plays17%
0.08Chance quality0.09
8.5%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.