Super League 1 · Matchweek 17
NFC Volos
NFC
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NFC Volos45%
Draw26%
Aris Thessaloniki29%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.32
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–27.1%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession45%
38%Territory34%
19%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NFC Volos, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.