Super League 1 · Matchweek 17
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Olympiacos
OLY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PAOK Thessaloniki38%
Draw26%
Olympiacos36%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.46
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession58%
47%Territory37%
29%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PAOK Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.