Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 17

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

Olympiacos

OLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PAOK Thessaloniki40%
Draw27%
Olympiacos33%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.34

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; PAOK Thessaloniki will not mind.

43%Possession59%
38%Territory42%
4%From set plays27%
0.17Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.