Super League 1 · Matchweek 17
OFI Crete
OFI
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OFI Crete28%
Draw25%
Panathinaikos47%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.69
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession61%
35%Territory51%
18%From set plays27%
0.16Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.