Super League 1 · Matchweek 17
Levadiakos
LEV
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levadiakos50%
Draw29%
Iraklis22%
Expected goals
1.42 – 0.86
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.9%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–011.3%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession41%
42%Territory30%
28%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.07
8.3%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levadiakos, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.