Super League 1 · Matchweek 17
Levadiakos
LEV
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levadiakos38%
Draw29%
Iraklis34%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.23
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.2%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession44%
35%Territory30%
39%From set plays48%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levadiakos, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Levadiakos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Iraklis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.