Super League 1 · Matchweek 17
Kifisia FC
KIF
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kifisia FC56%
Draw24%
Asteras Tripolis20%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.02
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.2%
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession46%
38%Territory33%
17%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.1%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kifisia FC, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.