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Super League 1 · Matchweek 17

Atromitos

ATR

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atromitos62%
Draw22%
Panetolikos16%

Expected goals

1.93 – 0.89

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.1%
  • 2–011.0%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

51%Possession43%
35%Territory34%
12%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.07
3.7%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Atromitos, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Panetolikos

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.