Super League 1 · Matchweek 17
AEK Athens
AEK
Kalamata
KAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens54%
Draw24%
Kalamata22%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.18
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AEK Athens will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.
63%Possession48%
37%Territory38%
21%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AEK Athens, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.