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Super League 1 · Matchweek 16

Panetolikos

PAE

Kifisia FC

KIF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panetolikos45%
Draw27%
Kifisia FC28%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.19

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1010.5%
  • 219.2%
  • 017.8%
  • 007.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

39%Possession45%
38%Territory37%
23%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.08
9.4%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 4 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.