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Super League 1 · Matchweek 16

Kalamata

KAL

Olympiacos

OLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kalamata36%
Draw28%
Olympiacos36%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.35

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 109.4%
  • 019.3%
  • 218.2%
  • 128.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.

48%Possession59%
38%Territory42%
36%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.