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Super League 1 · Matchweek 16

Kalamata

KAL

Olympiacos

OLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kalamata28%
Draw26%
Olympiacos47%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.67

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 0–27.1%
  • 2–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.

42%Possession58%
32%Territory37%
17%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.