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Super League 1 · Matchweek 16

Iraklis

IRA

NFC Volos

NFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Iraklis44%
Draw27%
NFC Volos29%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.19

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1010.7%
  • 219.1%
  • 018.3%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession50%
30%Territory38%
48%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for NFC Volos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.