Super League 1 · Matchweek 16
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis17%
Draw22%
Panathinaikos61%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.96
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.0%
- 0–210.2%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Panathinaikos will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.
46%Possession61%
33%Territory51%
26%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.8%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.