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Super League 1 · Matchweek 16

Asteras Tripolis

AST

Panathinaikos

PAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Asteras Tripolis26%
Draw25%
Panathinaikos49%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.73

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 019.6%
  • 129.6%
  • 027.6%
  • 106.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Panathinaikos will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.

51%Possession65%
41%Territory52%
19%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.6%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 4 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Asteras Tripolis

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.