Super League 1 · Matchweek 16
AEK Athens
AEK
Atromitos
ATR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens56%
Draw25%
Atromitos19%
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.93
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession51%
34%Territory35%
19%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AEK Athens, 2 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.