Super League 1 · Matchweek 16
AEK Athens
AEK
Atromitos
ATR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens53%
Draw25%
Atromitos22%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.10
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AEK Athens will have the ball; Atromitos will not mind.
63%Possession48%
37%Territory37%
21%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AEK Athens, 3 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.