Super League 1 · Matchweek 15
Panathinaikos
PAN
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos67%
Draw20%
Iraklis13%
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.85
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.6%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Panathinaikos will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.
61%Possession41%
51%Territory30%
27%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panathinaikos, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panathinaikos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.