Super League 1 · Matchweek 15
Panathinaikos
PAN
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos57%
Draw23%
Iraklis19%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.04
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.8%
- 1–110.6%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Panathinaikos will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.
65%Possession44%
52%Territory30%
13%From set plays48%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Panathinaikos, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panathinaikos
Iraklis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.