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Super League 1 · Matchweek 15

Olympiacos

OLY

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Olympiacos71%
Draw18%
Panetolikos11%

Expected goals

2.32 – 0.85

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.5%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 3–08.5%
  • 1–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.

58%Possession43%
37%Territory34%
16%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Panetolikos

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.