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Super League 1 · Matchweek 15

Olympiacos

OLY

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Olympiacos47%
Draw26%
Panetolikos27%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.17

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1010.5%
  • 219.4%
  • 207.7%
  • 017.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.

59%Possession39%
42%Territory38%
27%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness9.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.