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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 15

OFI Crete

OFI

Kalamata

KAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete44%
Draw27%
Kalamata29%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.24

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession48%
31%Territory38%
23%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.