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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 15

OFI Crete

OFI

Kalamata

KAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete49%
Draw24%
Kalamata27%

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.36

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–06.8%
  • 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

OFI Crete will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.

56%Possession42%
35%Territory32%
18%From set plays17%
0.16Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.