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Super League 1 · Matchweek 15

Kifisia FC

KIF

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kifisia FC39%
Draw29%
Atromitos32%

Expected goals

1.33 – 1.18

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 1011.1%
  • 019.7%
  • 009.3%
  • 218.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession48%
37%Territory37%
14%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.9%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kifisia FC, 3 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.