Super League 1 · Matchweek 15
Asteras Tripolis
AST
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis24%
Draw24%
PAOK Thessaloniki52%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.87
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PAOK Thessaloniki will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.
46%Possession57%
33%Territory47%
26%From set plays29%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.8%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.