Super League 1 · Matchweek 15
Asteras Tripolis
AST
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis33%
Draw26%
PAOK Thessaloniki41%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.59
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Asteras Tripolis will have the ball; PAOK Thessaloniki will not mind.
51%Possession43%
41%Territory38%
19%From set plays4%
0.09Chance quality0.17
7.6%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.